Euro 2024 qualifying permutations: What teams need to qualify
The group stage of UEFA Euro 2024 qualifying will see 20 teams to the finals automatically after a set of fixtures ending in November this year.
Several teams have joined hosts Germany at the tournament, with games to spare, but others have work to do in the November window.
Some know that they’ll be guaranteed a qualifying playoff place in March 2024 even if they do not finish in the required top two places of their group.
The Sporting News explains who has qualified for Euro 2024, who needs what to qualify next, and who’s in peril of missing out entirely.
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Of the 53 teams vying for qualification, 23 will get to play in the finals, alongside hosts Germany.
Those teams attempting to qualify are split across 10 groups: seven containing five teams, and three comprising six.
The top two from each group will qualify, making up 20 places. The three remaining spots will go to the winners of playoff games, which will take place between teams who have performed best in the 2022/23 Nations League.
The group winners of Leagues A, B and C in the Nations League will be awarded those playoff spots, if they have not already qualified for Euro 2024. If they have, the next best-ranked team in their Nations League group will reach the playoffs. If those teams have also already qualified, places will filter down to the next league, finishing with League D.
This list will be updated as teams qualify.
There is just one round of fixtures left to play for teams in Euro 2024 qualifying.
The following teams have been confirmed for the playoffs because of their Nations League ranking:
The following teams are guaranteed a playoff place if they do not finish in the top two of their group because of their Nations League ranking:
The following teams may potentially advance to the playoff round if they do not directly qualify, and enough higher-ranked teams above them qualify directly:
The next round of qualifying matches takes place next month. Matchdays 9 and 10 span across Wednesday, November 15 to Tuesday, November 21.
Here are the group standings. These tables will be updated as qualifying continues.
All tables and results are up to date as of matches on Sunday, November 19, 2023.
Spain and Scotland qualified because La Roja won 1-0 in Norway on October 15, ensuring the hosts could not catch the top two.
Two-time champions and 2022 FIFA World Cup finalists France qualified from Group B on Matchday 7 by winning 2-1 in Amsterdam.
The Netherlands all but qualified by winning 1-0 in Athens on October 16 against Greece and confirmed their place at the Euros by beating Republic of Ireland on November 18. Greece can still reach the finals via the playoff.
England qualified for Euro 2024 after securing a 3-1 win over rivals Italy at Wembley Stadium on October 17.
Ukraine and Italy will now contest the final automatic place in Group C. Ukraine host Italy on November 20 in the final match of group play, with the visitors holding the upper hand thanks to their superior goal differential.
Turkiye were the first team to qualify from Group D. Croatia need only avoid defeat to Armenia to join them, and they will have a playoff spot anyway if they do not finish in the top two.
Armenia are out of the running after a 1-1 draw with Wales, who must beat Turkiye on the final matchday and hope for a favour elsewhere.
Albania qualified thanks to a 1-1 draw with Moldova on November 17, as they cannot finish outside the top two with one match to go. Poland needed to beat the Czechia on Matchday 9 to qualify, but failed to do so, meaning they can now only reach Euro 2024 via the playoff.
Czechia were unable to mathematically qualify on Matchday 9, but will now have a chance to do so as long as they avoid defeat to Moldova on Matchday 10, while their opponents must win to go through.
Belgium qualified by winning in Austria on Matchday 7, and their opponents followed suit on October 16 by defeating Azerbaijan.
* Match abandoned at half-time, scoreline confirmed as final result.
Hungary qualified on November 16 with a draw in Bulgaria, as they cannot drop out of the top two on the final matchday.
Serbia will reach the finals with either a win or draw against Bulgaria on Matchday 10, or if Montenegro don’t win in Hungary.
A tight Group H has gone down to the wire. Denmark secured qualification with a November 17 win over Slovenia, who still can reach the final on Matchday 10 despite the defeat.
Slovenia qualify with a win or draw at home against Kazakhstan, while the visitors must emerge victorious to go through directly, although they can also lean on the playoff should they falter.
It wasn’t until matchday nine that any team in Group I secured qualification.
Romania‘s 2-1 win over Israel means they are in December’s group-stage draw, while Israel must prepare for the playoffs.
Switzerland also confirmed their place at the finals after a 1-1 draw with Kosovo, which eliminated their opponents.
